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New impact calculator highlights economic risks of Washington State trust land reductions

 Friday, April 17, 2026

Sustainable Forestry Initiative (SFI)

A new digital tool has been introduced to assess the economic and social implications of recent land management decisions in Washington State. The American Forest Resource Council (AFRC) has announced the release of the “77,000 Acre Commissioner Order – Community Impact Calculator.”

The platform provides detailed insights into how the removal of nearly 80,000 acres of state trust lands from active management could affect local communities. It has been made available through the Washington Communities and Schools Network.

The tool allows users to explore impacts at a county level. Data can be filtered by trust type. This enables a clearer understanding of how different beneficiaries may be affected.

The analysis is based on geographic information system data. This dataset was released by the Washington State Department of Natural Resources (DNR) in January.

The timing of the tool’s release is significant. Timber sales from state trust lands have already declined. They are currently at a 22-year low.

This trend has raised concerns. Financial stability for both trust beneficiaries and the DNR is being challenged. Revenue streams are under pressure.

State trust lands play a critical role in Washington’s economy. These lands are managed to generate revenue for specific beneficiaries. Public schools are among the primary recipients.

Counties, fire districts, libraries, and other services also depend on these funds. Timber harvesting supports these financial flows.

The newly released data suggests that 79,876 acres are affected. This figure exceeds earlier estimates of 77,000 acres. The difference is considered substantial.

A significant portion of the affected land falls under State Forest Transfer classifications. More than 36,000 acres are included in this category. These lands are intended to support county-level services.

An additional 5,200 acres are categorized as State Forest Purchase lands. These also contribute to local funding systems.

County trust lands appear to be disproportionately impacted. The affected acreage exceeds that of Common School trust lands by nearly 17,000 acres. This imbalance has raised concerns among stakeholders.

The financial implications are expected to be significant. Rural counties are likely to be the most affected. These areas rely heavily on timber revenues.

In Skamania County, over 12,100 acres have been included in the land set-aside. More than 6,000 acres belong to State Forest Transfer lands.

Previous DNR analysis had identified around 10,400 acres of operable land in the county. After earlier conservation measures, this represented the remaining revenue-generating base.

The new order would remove nearly 60 percent of that remaining land. This reduction is considered substantial.

Projected financial losses are considerable. Skamania County could lose approximately $123 million in timber revenue over the next 20 years.

Most of these losses are tied to State Forest Transfer lands. An estimated $112.8 million is associated with this category. State Forest Purchase lands account for an additional $10 million.

These revenue losses are expected to affect public services. Schools, fire districts, and healthcare facilities could face funding challenges.

Clallam County is also impacted. More than 9,300 acres are included in the dataset. Around 4,664 acres are identified as State Forest Transfer lands.

Local stakeholders have expressed concern. The Clallam County Revenue Advisory Committee has called for legislative oversight. A formal letter was submitted to state leaders in early March.

The committee emphasized the importance of these lands. They are held in trust. Revenue is intended to support local governments and school districts.

Estimated financial impacts have been outlined. The Quillayute Valley School District could lose $12.6 million. The Port Angeles School District may face losses of $3.4 million.

The broader implications extend beyond direct revenue. Timber harvest reductions also affect excise tax collections. These taxes support local taxing districts.

A decline in harvest levels could therefore compound financial challenges. Multiple funding streams may be affected simultaneously.

The forestry sector is closely linked to these outcomes. State trust lands are part of Washington’s working forest system. Timber harvesting supports employment and industrial activity.

Local mills depend on a consistent supply of raw materials. Any disruption can impact operations. The broader forest products supply chain may also be affected.

Economic stability in rural communities is closely tied to this system. Changes in land management can have long-term consequences.

AFRC has emphasized the importance of transparency. The new calculator is intended to inform both the public and policymakers.

Users are encouraged to explore the data. The tool provides a clearer picture of localized impacts. Decision-making can be supported with accurate information.

Concerns have also been raised about the decision-making process. The Commissioner’s order was issued without formal approval from the state legislature or the Board of Natural Resources.

Stakeholders have called for further review. Oversight is considered necessary to ensure trust responsibilities are upheld.

The issue highlights a broader challenge. Balancing environmental priorities with economic sustainability remains complex.

Washington’s trust land system has long supported public services. Its future management will continue to be closely monitored.

The introduction of the Community Impact Calculator marks an important step. It provides a data-driven perspective on policy decisions.

As discussions continue, the focus remains on ensuring that trust lands fulfill their intended purpose. The outcomes will have lasting effects on communities, industries, and public services across the state.

Read more news on AFRC

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